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UFC ESPN 1 & Bellator 215/216

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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after beating Roy Nelson, but at age 38 his skills will probably not be improving. Mitrione has the superior technique, power and durability standing which should see him with a reasonable benefit. Kharitonov will be seeking to get the fight down but it will be hard given Mitrione’s superior athleticism. Expect a tentative start from both men before Mitrione starts amassing strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming to this fight after a substantial injury layoff. In fact he has had only one victory because Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks over his state the struggle appears to be lined too wide. Ngannou clearly has enormous stopping power and will be quite dangerous on the toes . If Cain has lost a step or comes in appearing slow he’s in trouble. Historically his style brings a whole lot of pressure to competitions but he is receptive to taking shots himself, especially when gassed. Both guys have paths to victory here, Ngannou is able to keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will want to avoid the early storm and look to wear the larger man out using takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what seems like a 50/50 battle going in. However, the winner of the struggle is very likely to seem dominant.
Bet = Ngannou in 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all time low after his recent KO but his run to the top was impressive. In this matchup he will be the superior technical fighter with both the length and speed benefit. Felder has a tendency to mirror his competitor but he will need to turn this one into a brawl to find victory. It’s possible he joins with a kill shot, but all other avenues to success are in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to use his very best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick into a gameplan and keep it at range. We enjoy the line on Vick to cruise to success with a medical decision.
Bet = Vick at 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.73 Units.
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