At 29 years old Martin is coming into his prime. Undefeated in Welterweight he’s revealing huge improvements in both skill and fight IQ. Martin is a BJJ Blackbelt but it is his striking that is shining lately showing good motion and a very long troublesome jab. Maia is nearly 42 years old but still remains dangerous. On the floor his control and submission arsenal is unmatched. He has taken considerable damage in late fights in which his inability to acquire takedowns leaves him a sitting duck. Without a realistic name shot on the horizon you have to question his motivation moving forward.
Stylistically this is a fight Maia should triumph, but with the athletic and striking advantages in Martins favour the result is a lot nearer than the line indicates. Maia will need early takedowns and maybe even a finish in around one. Martin should make this difficult and when he’s trapped, has got the BJJ to at least survive the entry attacks. Into round two will probably be at which Martin can take over as it’s no secret Maia slows considerably. This Is a Great place to take the starving young fighter at dogs odds.Drew Dober Breakdown
Dober comes into this matchup off a loss, but fought well and is showing a great deal of improvements fight to combat. He’s developed his capability to compliment his fairly precise striking style. Another facet to his game is his wrestling, which he seems to blend into his offence more frequently. No world beater, but a well rounded fighter with a good chin means Dober matches up well with other reduced level fighters.
Polo Reyes is 34 decades old and his durability is now a massive question mark. Two of the last 3 fights have finished in a bad TKO loss. He throws with serious power but is not well rounded, as vulnerable by Had??ovi?? who dominated him on the floor before pounding him out. Essentially all of the skill advantages are with Dober departing Reyes with few avenues to victory other than a punchers chance. The price is steep but this fight should be a straight forward victory for Dober
Bet = Dober in 1.31 (-325) chances. Risk 5 Units to win 1.55 Units.
Vinc Pichel Breakdown
This is a traditional big favourite prospect taking a step up trap. Roberts has a great deal of hype but has failed to ignite so far against some lacklustre competition. There are a number of obvious holes in his game where he’s backed up easily and holds his chin high. Pitchel is coming back after another layoff and in 36 there’s a chance he would look skinnier. He has big power and will want to force a brawl in which his durability and durability can shine.
This should be a competitive game where we can’t overlook the odds on Pichel. Roberts has potential but hasn’t shown anything yet to justify such a price tag. Look for the veteran to force striking trades and land some power shots. A KO is possible or close decision also probably.
Bet = Pichel at 3.50 (+250) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 5.0 Units.
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